1
34%
Home Win
2.92
X
26%
Draw
3.8
2
39%
Away Win
2.54
xG Home
1.25
xG Away
1.36
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Molde an expected 1.2 goals and Tromsø IL an expected 1.4 goals. Molde have a 34% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Tromsø IL at 39%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.5%
0:1
10%
1:0
9.2%
1:2
8.5%
2:1
7.8%
0:0
7.4%
0:2
6.8%
2:0
5.8%
2:2
5.3%
1:3
3.8%
3:1
3.2%
0:3
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Tromsø IL Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| Molde | Tromsø IL | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 3 |
| 39 | Points | 57 |
| 40% | Win % | 60% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.2 |
Venue Form
Molde at Home
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Tromsø IL Away
W3
D1
L0
(4 games)
Recent Form
Molde
D
L
W
W
Tromsø IL
W
W
D
W
