1
48%
Home Win
2.1
X
24%
Draw
4.25
2
29%
Away Win
3.46
xG Home
1.73
xG Away
1.30
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
BTTS
60%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Molde an expected 1.7 goals and Sarpsborg 08 an expected 1.3 goals. Molde have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Sarpsborg 08 at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.9%
2:1
9.4%
1:0
8.3%
2:0
7.2%
1:2
7.1%
0:1
6.3%
2:2
6.1%
3:1
5.4%
0:0
4.8%
3:0
4.2%
0:2
4.1%
3:2
3.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Molde Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 48% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.08 |
| Market Odds | 2.22 |
Team Comparison
| Molde | Sarpsborg 08 | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 8 |
| 39 | Points | 41 |
| 40% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.6 |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.67 |
Venue Form
Molde at Home
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Sarpsborg 08 Away
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Molde
L
W
W
Sarpsborg 08
D
L
L
