Molde vs Sandefjord Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 30 May 2026 · Eliteserien
1 37%
Home Win 2.71
X 25%
Draw 4.07
2 39%
Away Win 2.6
xG Home 1.45
xG Away 1.49
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
BTTS 59%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Molde an expected 1.5 goals and Sandefjord an expected 1.5 goals. Molde have a 37% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Sandefjord at 39%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.4%
1:2 8.5%
2:1 8.3%
0:1 7.8%
1:0 7.6%
2:2 6.2%
0:2 5.8%
2:0 5.6%
0:0 5.3%
1:3 4.2%
3:1 4%
2:3 3.1%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Sandefjord Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Molde Sandefjord
10 League Position 5
39 Points 48
40% Win % 50%
1.53 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4

Venue Form

Molde at Home
W2 D0 L1 (3 games)
67% win rate
Sandefjord Away
W0 D0 L3 (3 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Molde
L W W
Sandefjord
L L L

Head to Head

19 Oct 2025 Eliteserien
Molde 1 : 3 Sandefjord
W
06 Apr 2025 Eliteserien
Sandefjord 3 : 0 Molde
L
19 Oct 2024 Eliteserien
Molde 0 : 1 Sandefjord
W