1
37%
Home Win
2.71
X
25%
Draw
4.07
2
39%
Away Win
2.6
xG Home
1.45
xG Away
1.49
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
BTTS
59%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Molde an expected 1.5 goals and Sandefjord an expected 1.5 goals. Molde have a 37% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Sandefjord at 39%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.4%
1:2
8.5%
2:1
8.3%
0:1
7.8%
1:0
7.6%
2:2
6.2%
0:2
5.8%
2:0
5.6%
0:0
5.3%
1:3
4.2%
3:1
4%
2:3
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sandefjord Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Molde | Sandefjord | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 5 |
| 39 | Points | 48 |
| 40% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.83 |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.4 |
Venue Form
Molde at Home
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Sandefjord Away
W0
D0
L3
(3 games)
Recent Form
Molde
L
W
W
Sandefjord
L
L
L
Head to Head
Molde
1 : 3
Sandefjord
W
Sandefjord
3 : 0
Molde
L
Molde
0 : 1
Sandefjord
W