1
61%
Home Win
1.63
X
21%
Draw
4.81
2
18%
Away Win
5.61
xG Home
2.04
xG Away
1.00
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Molde an expected 2.0 goals and Kristiansund BK an expected 1.0 goals. Molde have a 61% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Kristiansund BK at 18%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
10%
2:0
9.9%
1:1
9.7%
1:0
9.7%
3:1
6.8%
3:0
6.8%
2:2
5%
1:2
4.9%
0:1
4.8%
0:0
4.8%
4:1
3.5%
4:0
3.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Molde Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 61% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.64 |
| Market Odds | 1.74 |
Team Comparison
| Molde | Kristiansund BK | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 13 |
| 39 | Points | 35 |
| 40% | Win % | 30% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.23 |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.97 |
Venue Form
Molde at Home
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Kristiansund BK Away
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Molde
L
W
W
Kristiansund BK
L
L
D
