1
20%
Home Win
5.13
X
19%
Draw
5.4
2
62%
Away Win
1.62
xG Home
1.33
xG Away
2.44
Over 2.5 Goals
72%
BTTS
67%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Mladá Boleslav an expected 1.3 goals and Sparta Praha an expected 2.4 goals. Mladá Boleslav have a 20% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Sparta Praha at 62%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 72%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:2
9.1%
1:1
7.5%
1:3
7.4%
0:2
6.9%
2:2
6.1%
0:1
5.6%
0:3
5.6%
2:1
5%
2:3
4.9%
1:4
4.5%
0:4
3.4%
1:0
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sparta Praha Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 62% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.61 |
| Market Odds | 1.72 |
Team Comparison
| Mladá Boleslav | Sparta Praha | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 2 |
| 35 | Points | 63 |
| 27% | Win % | 63% |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.73 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.1 |
