1
78%
Home Win
1.28
X
15%
Draw
6.85
2
7%
Away Win
14.43
xG Home
2.45
xG Away
0.59
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
BTTS
40%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Mjällby AIF an expected 2.5 goals and IF Elfsborg an expected 0.6 goals. Mjällby AIF have a 78% win probability, draw stands at 15%, and IF Elfsborg at 7%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
14.4%
3:0
11.8%
1:0
11.8%
2:1
8.4%
4:0
7.2%
3:1
6.9%
1:1
6.9%
0:0
4.8%
4:1
4.2%
0:1
2.8%
2:2
2.5%
3:2
2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Mjällby AIF Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 78% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.28 |
| Market Odds | 1.36 |
Team Comparison
| Mjällby AIF | IF Elfsborg | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 8 |
| 75 | Points | 40 |
| 77% | Win % | 40% |
| 1.9 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 0.6 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.7 |
Venue Form
Mjällby AIF at Home
W3
D1
L1
(5 games)
IF Elfsborg Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Mjällby AIF
D
L
W
W
W
IF Elfsborg
L
L
