1
83%
Home Win
1.21
X
13%
Draw
7.8
2
5%
Away Win
21.88
xG Home
2.50
xG Away
0.43
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
BTTS
32%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Mjällby AIF an expected 2.5 goals and Degerfors IF an expected 0.4 goals. Mjällby AIF have a 83% win probability, draw stands at 13%, and Degerfors IF at 5%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
16.7%
3:0
13.9%
1:0
13.4%
4:0
8.7%
2:1
7.2%
3:1
6%
1:1
5.7%
0:0
5.3%
4:1
3.7%
0:1
2.3%
2:2
1.5%
3:2
1.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Mjällby AIF Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 83% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.2 |
| Market Odds | 1.28 |
Team Comparison
| Mjällby AIF | Degerfors IF | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 13 |
| 75 | Points | 30 |
| 77% | Win % | 27% |
| 1.9 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.1 |
| 0.6 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.73 |
Venue Form
Mjällby AIF at Home
W3
D1
L3
(7 games)
Degerfors IF Away
W0
D1
L3
(4 games)
Recent Form
Mjällby AIF
L
L
D
L
W
Degerfors IF
L
L
L
D
