1
56%
Home Win
1.8
X
22%
Draw
4.54
2
22%
Away Win
4.48
xG Home
1.94
xG Away
1.15
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS
58%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives GAIS an expected 1.9 goals and Sirius an expected 1.1 goals. GAIS have a 56% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Sirius at 22%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.2%
2:1
9.8%
1:0
8.9%
2:0
8.6%
3:1
6.4%
1:2
5.8%
2:2
5.7%
3:0
5.5%
0:1
5.3%
0:0
4.6%
3:2
3.7%
4:1
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | GAIS Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 56% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.79 |
| Market Odds | 1.9 |
Team Comparison
| GAIS | Sirius | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 9 |
| 52 | Points | 39 |
| 47% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.77 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.7 |
Venue Form
GAIS at Home
W3
D2
L0
(5 games)
Sirius Away
W7
D1
L1
(9 games)
Recent Form
GAIS
D
W
W
W
D
Sirius
W
W
W
W
W
