1
25%
Home Win
4.05
X
26%
Draw
3.92
2
50%
Away Win
2.01
xG Home
1.01
xG Away
1.55
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Mirassol an expected 1.0 goals and Flamengo an expected 1.5 goals. Mirassol have a 25% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Flamengo at 50%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.1%
0:1
12%
1:2
9.4%
0:2
9.3%
1:0
7.8%
0:0
7.8%
2:1
6.1%
1:3
4.8%
0:3
4.8%
2:2
4.7%
2:0
4%
2:3
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Flamengo Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Mirassol | Flamengo | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 1 |
| 67 | Points | 79 |
| 47% | Win % | 61% |
| 1.66 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.05 |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.71 |
Venue Form
Mirassol at Home
W3
D2
L0
(5 games)
Flamengo Away
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Mirassol
W
W
D
W
D
Flamengo
D
W
W
