1
43%
Home Win
2.32
X
26%
Draw
3.8
2
31%
Away Win
3.28
xG Home
1.42
xG Away
1.15
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Mirassol an expected 1.4 goals and Botafogo an expected 1.1 goals. Mirassol have a 43% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Botafogo at 31%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.5%
1:0
10.9%
2:1
8.9%
0:1
8.8%
2:0
7.7%
0:0
7.7%
1:2
7.2%
2:2
5.1%
0:2
5.1%
3:1
4.2%
3:0
3.7%
1:3
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Mirassol Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 43% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.33 |
| Market Odds | 2.47 |
Team Comparison
| Mirassol | Botafogo | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 6 |
| 67 | Points | 63 |
| 47% | Win % | 45% |
| 1.66 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
Mirassol at Home
W3
D2
L0
(5 games)
Botafogo Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Mirassol
W
W
D
W
D
Botafogo
D
W
L
