Minnesota United vs Vancouver Whitecaps Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 26 Jul 2026 · Major League Soccer
1 47%
Home Win 2.12
X 24%
Draw 4.09
2 28%
Away Win 3.53
xG Home 1.63
xG Away 1.21
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
BTTS 56%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Minnesota United an expected 1.6 goals and Vancouver Whitecaps an expected 1.2 goals. Minnesota United have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Vancouver Whitecaps at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.5%
1:0 9.5%
2:1 9.4%
2:0 7.8%
0:1 7.1%
1:2 7%
0:0 5.9%
2:2 5.7%
3:1 5.1%
0:2 4.3%
3:0 4.2%
3:2 3.1%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Vancouver Whitecaps Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Venue Form

Minnesota United at Home
W1 D0 L2 (3 games)
33% win rate
Vancouver Whitecaps Away
W1 D2 L1 (4 games)
25% win rate

Recent Form

Minnesota United
L L W
Vancouver Whitecaps
W D D L

Head to Head

15 Mar 2026 Major League Soccer
Vancouver Whitecaps 6 : 0 Minnesota United FC
L
29 May 2025 Major League Soccer
Vancouver Whitecaps 0 : 0 Minnesota United FC
D
27 Apr 2025 Major League Soccer
Minnesota United FC 1 : 3 Vancouver Whitecaps
W