1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.46
xG Away
0.96
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Minnesota United an expected 2.5 goals and Sporting Kansas City an expected 1.0 goals. Minnesota United have a 70% win probability, draw stands at 17%, and Sporting Kansas City at 13%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 66%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
9.9%
2:1
9.5%
3:0
8.1%
1:0
8%
3:1
7.8%
1:1
7.7%
4:0
5%
4:1
4.8%
2:2
4.6%
3:2
3.8%
1:2
3.7%
0:0
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Minnesota United Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 70% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.43 |
| Market Odds | 1.52 |
Team Comparison
| Minnesota United | Sporting Kansas City | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 15 |
| 58 | Points | 28 |
| 47% | Win % | 21% |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.35 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.06 |
Venue Form
Minnesota United at Home
W1
D0
L4
(5 games)
Sporting Kansas City Away
W1
D0
L7
(8 games)
Recent Form
Minnesota United
L
L
L
L
W
Sporting Kansas City
L
W
L
L
L
