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Minnesota United vs San Jose Earthquakes — Prediction

Minnesota United Minnesota United
2 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 · Major League Soccer
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
2026-11-08
Competition
Major League Soccer

Kickoff time is not confirmed. The date is shown in UTC.

Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Minnesota United
  • Los Angeles FC 1–3 Minnesota United
  • Minnesota United 3–1 Sporting Kansas City
  • Houston Dynamo 0–0 Minnesota United
  • Seattle Sounders 3–1 Minnesota United
  • Minnesota United 2–3 Los Angeles Galaxy
San Jose Earthquakes
  • San Jose Earthquakes 2–1 Real Salt Lake
  • San Jose Earthquakes 2–2 Colorado Rapids
  • FC Dallas 3–0 San Jose Earthquakes
  • San Jose Earthquakes 3–1 Portland Timbers
  • San Jose Earthquakes 1–0 Houston Dynamo
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Minnesota United 34 · San Jose Earthquakes 34. Data saved: 2026-11-05 15:10 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 2.21
Model goal expectation · 2 1.26
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
BTTS 64%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Minnesota United 2.21 · San Jose Earthquakes 1.26.
1 59% · X 20% · 2 21%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:1 9.6%
1:1 8.7%
2:0 7.6%
3:1 7.1%
1:0 6.9%
2:2 6%
3:0 5.6%
1:2 5.4%
3:2 4.4%
0:1 3.9%
4:1 3.9%
0:0 3.1%

About this assessment

Model outcome Minnesota United Win
Probability 59%
Predicted Odds 1.69

Team Comparison

Minnesota United San Jose Earthquakes
4 League Position 10
58 Points 41
47% Win % 32%
1.65 Avg Goals Scored 1.76
1.15 Avg Goals Conceded 1.85

Venue Form

Minnesota United at Home
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate
San Jose Earthquakes Away
W0 D0 L1 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Minnesota United
W W D L L
San Jose Earthquakes
W D L W W

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01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

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Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

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Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

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