1
40%
Home Win
2.53
X
25%
Draw
3.94
2
35%
Away Win
2.85
xG Home
1.44
xG Away
1.34
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Minnesota United an expected 1.4 goals and San Diego an expected 1.3 goals. Minnesota United have a 40% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and San Diego at 35%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12%
1:0
8.9%
2:1
8.6%
0:1
8.3%
1:2
8%
2:0
6.4%
0:0
6.2%
2:2
5.8%
0:2
5.6%
3:1
4.1%
1:3
3.6%
3:0
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | San Diego Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Minnesota United | San Diego | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 1 |
| 58 | Points | 63 |
| 47% | Win % | 56% |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.88 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
Venue Form
Minnesota United at Home
W1
D0
L4
(5 games)
San Diego Away
W0
D2
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Minnesota United
L
L
L
L
W
San Diego
D
D
L
L
Head to Head
San Diego
1 : 2
Minnesota United FC
W
San Diego
1 : 0
Minnesota United FC
L
San Diego
1 : 3
Minnesota United FC
W
