1
47%
Home Win
2.12
X
40%
Draw
2.48
2
13%
Away Win
7.99
xG Home
0.85
xG Away
0.30
Over 2.5 Goals
11%
BTTS
15%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Mexico an expected 0.8 goals and Saudi Arabia an expected 0.3 goals. Mexico have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 40%, and Saudi Arabia at 13%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 89%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
31.8%
1:0
26.9%
2:0
11.4%
0:1
9.5%
1:1
8.1%
2:1
3.4%
3:0
3.2%
0:2
1.4%
1:2
1.2%
3:1
1%
4:0
0.7%
2:2
0.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Mexico Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Mexico | Saudi Arabia | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 7 | Points | 4 |
| 67% | Win % | 33% |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.67 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.67 |
Head to Head
Saudi Arabia
1 : 2
Mexico
W