1
85%
Home Win
1.18
X
10%
Draw
9.57
2
5%
Away Win
21.74
xG Home
2.96
xG Away
0.58
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
BTTS
42%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Mexico an expected 3.0 goals and Honduras an expected 0.6 goals. Mexico have a 85% win probability, draw stands at 10%, and Honduras at 5%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 68%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
12.7%
3:0
12.5%
4:0
9.3%
1:0
8.6%
2:1
7.4%
3:1
7.3%
4:1
5.4%
1:1
5%
0:0
2.9%
2:2
2.1%
3:2
2.1%
0:1
1.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Mexico Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Mexico | Honduras | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 7 | Points | 6 |
| 67% | Win % | 67% |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.33 |
Head to Head
Mexico
4 : 0
Honduras
W
Honduras
2 : 0
Mexico
L
Mexico
2 : 0
Honduras
W