1
77%
Home Win
1.3
X
17%
Draw
5.95
2
6%
Away Win
15.72
xG Home
2.12
xG Away
0.44
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
31%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Mexico an expected 2.1 goals and Dominican Republic an expected 0.4 goals. Mexico have a 77% win probability, draw stands at 17%, and Dominican Republic at 6%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
17.4%
1:0
16.5%
3:0
12.3%
0:0
7.8%
2:1
7.6%
1:1
7.2%
4:0
6.5%
3:1
5.4%
0:1
3.4%
4:1
2.8%
2:2
1.7%
1:2
1.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Mexico Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 33% |
| Predicted Odds | 3.03 |
| Market Odds | 3.22 |
Team Comparison
| Mexico | Dominican Republic | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 3 |
| 7 | Points | 1 |
| 67% | Win % | 0% |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.67 |