1
57%
Home Win
1.76
X
24%
Draw
4.17
2
19%
Away Win
5.21
xG Home
1.69
xG Away
0.87
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Mexico an expected 1.7 goals and Costa Rica an expected 0.9 goals. Mexico have a 57% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Costa Rica at 19%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13%
1:1
11.3%
2:0
11%
2:1
9.6%
0:0
7.7%
0:1
6.7%
3:0
6.2%
3:1
5.4%
1:2
4.9%
2:2
4.2%
0:2
2.9%
4:0
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Mexico Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Mexico | Costa Rica | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 7 | Points | 7 |
| 67% | Win % | 67% |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
Head to Head
Mexico
2 : 0
Costa Rica
W
Mexico
0 : 0
Costa Rica
D
Costa Rica
0 : 1
Mexico
W