1
26%
Home Win
3.81
X
27%
Draw
3.65
2
46%
Away Win
2.16
xG Home
0.96
xG Away
1.37
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
BTTS
46%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Mamelodi Sundowns an expected 1.0 goals and Borussia Dortmund an expected 1.4 goals. Mamelodi Sundowns have a 26% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Borussia Dortmund at 46%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
13.3%
1:1
12.8%
0:0
9.7%
1:0
9.3%
0:2
9.1%
1:2
8.8%
2:1
6.1%
2:0
4.5%
2:2
4.2%
0:3
4.2%
1:3
4%
3:1
2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Mamelodi Sundowns Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Mamelodi Sundowns | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 1 |
| 4 | Points | 7 |
| 33% | Win % | 67% |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |