Malmö FF vs Vasteras SK FK Prediction

Malmö FF Malmö FF
1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 24 May 2026 · Allsvenskan
Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK
1 46%
Home Win 2.15
X 25%
Draw 3.94
2 28%
Away Win 3.55
xG Home 1.54
xG Away 1.14
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
BTTS 53%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Malmö FF an expected 1.5 goals and Vasteras SK FK an expected 1.1 goals. Malmö FF have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Vasteras SK FK at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 50%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.1%
1:0 10.6%
2:1 9.3%
2:0 8.1%
0:1 7.8%
0:0 6.9%
1:2 6.9%
2:2 5.3%
3:1 4.7%
0:2 4.5%
3:0 4.2%
3:2 2.7%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Malmö FF Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Venue Form

Malmö FF at Home
W1 D0 L2 (3 games)
33% win rate
Vasteras SK FK Away
W1 D0 L2 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

Malmö FF
W L L
Vasteras SK FK
L W L

Head to Head

02 Mar 2025 Svenska Cupen
Malmo FF 3 : 0 Vasteras SK FK
L
19 Oct 2024 Allsvenskan
Vasteras SK FK 1 : 1 Malmo FF
D
20 Apr 2024 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF 1 : 0 Vasteras SK FK
L