1
36%
Home Win
2.74
X
27%
Draw
3.69
2
36%
Away Win
2.75
xG Home
1.24
xG Away
1.24
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Malmö FF an expected 1.2 goals and Djurgårdens IF an expected 1.2 goals. Malmö FF have a 36% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Djurgårdens IF at 36%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.9%
1:0
10.4%
0:1
10.4%
0:0
8.4%
2:1
8%
1:2
8%
2:0
6.4%
0:2
6.4%
2:2
5%
3:1
3.3%
1:3
3.3%
3:0
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Malmö FF Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 36% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.78 |
| Market Odds | 2.96 |
Team Comparison
| Malmö FF | Djurgårdens IF | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 5 |
| 49 | Points | 49 |
| 43% | Win % | 43% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.73 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.07 |
Venue Form
Malmö FF at Home
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Djurgårdens IF Away
W2
D1
L2
(5 games)
Recent Form
Malmö FF
W
W
L
L
Djurgårdens IF
D
W
W
L
L