1
66%
Home Win
1.51
X
20%
Draw
4.94
2
14%
Away Win
7.32
xG Home
2.02
xG Away
0.79
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Malmö FF an expected 2.0 goals and Degerfors IF an expected 0.8 goals. Malmö FF have a 66% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Degerfors IF at 14%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
12.3%
1:0
12.2%
2:1
9.7%
1:1
9.6%
3:0
8.3%
3:1
6.5%
0:0
6.1%
0:1
4.8%
4:0
4.2%
2:2
3.8%
1:2
3.8%
4:1
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Malmö FF Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Malmö FF | Degerfors IF | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 13 |
| 49 | Points | 30 |
| 43% | Win % | 27% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.1 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.73 |
Venue Form
Malmö FF at Home
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Degerfors IF Away
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Malmö FF
W
W
L
L
Degerfors IF
L
L
D
Head to Head
Degerfors IF
0 : 1
Malmo FF
W
Malmo FF
1 : 1
Degerfors IF
D
Degerfors IF
1 : 4
Malmo FF
W
