1
34%
Home Win
2.95
X
31%
Draw
3.26
2
35%
Away Win
2.83
xG Home
0.99
xG Away
1.02
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
BTTS
40%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Mali an expected 1.0 goals and Tunisia an expected 1.0 goals. Mali have a 34% win probability, draw stands at 31%, and Tunisia at 35%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 67%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
13.6%
1:1
13.5%
0:0
13.3%
1:0
13.2%
0:2
7%
1:2
6.9%
2:1
6.7%
2:0
6.6%
2:2
3.4%
0:3
2.4%
1:3
2.4%
3:1
2.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Tunisia Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Mali | Tunisia | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 2 |
| 3 | Points | 4 |
| 0% | Win % | 33% |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.67 |
Head to Head
Tunisia
1 : 1
Mali
D
Tunisia
0 : 0
Mali
D
Mali
0 : 1
Tunisia
L