1
9%
Home Win
10.76
X
31%
Draw
3.2
2
59%
Away Win
1.68
xG Home
0.30
xG Away
1.19
Over 2.5 Goals
19%
BTTS
18%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Mali an expected 0.3 goals and Senegal an expected 1.2 goals. Mali have a 9% win probability, draw stands at 31%, and Senegal at 59%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 81%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
26.8%
0:0
22.5%
0:2
16%
1:1
8%
1:0
6.7%
0:3
6.3%
1:2
4.8%
1:3
1.9%
0:4
1.9%
2:1
1.2%
2:0
1%
2:2
0.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Senegal Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Mali | Senegal | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 1 |
| 3 | Points | 7 |
| 0% | Win % | 67% |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.33 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.33 |
Head to Head
Senegal
2 : 1
Mali
L