Los Angeles FC vs Real Salt Lake Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Thu, 23 Jul 2026 · Major League Soccer
1 47%
Home Win 2.12
X 24%
Draw 4.09
2 28%
Away Win 3.53
xG Home 1.63
xG Away 1.21
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
BTTS 56%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Los Angeles FC an expected 1.6 goals and Real Salt Lake an expected 1.2 goals. Los Angeles FC have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Real Salt Lake at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.5%
1:0 9.5%
2:1 9.4%
2:0 7.8%
0:1 7.1%
1:2 7%
0:0 5.9%
2:2 5.7%
3:1 5.1%
0:2 4.3%
3:0 4.2%
3:2 3.1%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Real Salt Lake Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Venue Form

Los Angeles FC at Home
W0 D1 L2 (3 games)
0% win rate
Real Salt Lake Away
W1 D0 L2 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

Los Angeles FC
L D L
Real Salt Lake
L L W

Head to Head

22 Sep 2025 Major League Soccer
Los Angeles FC 4 : 1 Real Salt Lake
L
18 Sep 2025 Major League Soccer
Real Salt Lake 1 : 4 Los Angeles FC
W
18 Jul 2024 Major League Soccer
Los Angeles FC 1 : 1 Real Salt Lake
D