Los Angeles Galaxy vs St. Louis City SC Prediction

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Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy
1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Thu, 23 Jul 2026 · Major League Soccer
1 47%
Home Win 2.12
X 24%
Draw 4.09
2 28%
Away Win 3.53
xG Home 1.63
xG Away 1.21
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
BTTS 56%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Los Angeles Galaxy an expected 1.6 goals and St. Louis City SC an expected 1.2 goals. Los Angeles Galaxy have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and St. Louis City SC at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.5%
1:0 9.5%
2:1 9.4%
2:0 7.8%
0:1 7.1%
1:2 7%
0:0 5.9%
2:2 5.7%
3:1 5.1%
0:2 4.3%
3:0 4.2%
3:2 3.1%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick St. Louis City SC Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Venue Form

Los Angeles Galaxy at Home
W1 D1 L1 (3 games)
33% win rate
St. Louis City SC Away
W1 D0 L2 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

Los Angeles Galaxy
L D W
St. Louis City SC
W L L

Head to Head

11 Feb 2026 Friendlies Clubs
Los Angeles Galaxy 3 : 0 St. Louis City
L
14 Jun 2025 Major League Soccer
St. Louis City 3 : 3 Los Angeles Galaxy
D
09 Mar 2025 Major League Soccer
Los Angeles Galaxy 0 : 3 St. Louis City
W