Los Angeles Galaxy vs Los Angeles FC Prediction

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Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy
1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 18 Jul 2026 · Major League Soccer
1 47%
Home Win 2.12
X 24%
Draw 4.09
2 28%
Away Win 3.53
xG Home 1.63
xG Away 1.21
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
BTTS 56%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Los Angeles Galaxy an expected 1.6 goals and Los Angeles FC an expected 1.2 goals. Los Angeles Galaxy have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Los Angeles FC at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.5%
1:0 9.5%
2:1 9.4%
2:0 7.8%
0:1 7.1%
1:2 7%
0:0 5.9%
2:2 5.7%
3:1 5.1%
0:2 4.3%
3:0 4.2%
3:2 3.1%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Los Angeles Galaxy Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Venue Form

Los Angeles Galaxy at Home
W1 D1 L1 (3 games)
33% win rate
Los Angeles FC Away
W3 D1 L2 (6 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Los Angeles Galaxy
L D W
Los Angeles FC
W L L D W

Head to Head

20 Jul 2025 Major League Soccer
Los Angeles FC 3 : 3 Los Angeles Galaxy
D
19 May 2025 Major League Soccer
Los Angeles Galaxy 2 : 2 Los Angeles FC
D
15 Sep 2024 Major League Soccer
Los Angeles Galaxy 4 : 2 Los Angeles FC
L