1
69%
Home Win
1.46
X
17%
Draw
5.91
2
14%
Away Win
6.92
xG Home
2.55
xG Away
1.11
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
BTTS
62%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Lokomotiv Moscow an expected 2.6 goals and Krylya Sovetov an expected 1.1 goals. Lokomotiv Moscow have a 69% win probability, draw stands at 17%, and Krylya Sovetov at 14%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 71%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9.3%
2:0
8.4%
3:1
7.9%
1:1
7.3%
3:0
7.1%
1:0
6.6%
2:2
5.1%
4:1
5%
4:0
4.6%
3:2
4.4%
1:2
4%
0:1
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lokomotiv Moscow Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 69% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.45 |
| Market Odds | 1.54 |
Team Comparison
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Krylya Sovetov | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 11 |
| 53 | Points | 32 |
| 47% | Win % | 27% |
| 1.8 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.17 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.67 |
