1
58%
Home Win
1.73
X
21%
Draw
4.66
2
21%
Away Win
4.84
xG Home
1.99
xG Away
1.11
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS
58%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Lokomotiv Moscow an expected 2.0 goals and Akhmat Grozny an expected 1.1 goals. Lokomotiv Moscow have a 58% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Akhmat Grozny at 21%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
9.9%
2:1
9.9%
1:0
9%
2:0
8.9%
3:1
6.6%
3:0
5.9%
1:2
5.5%
2:2
5.5%
0:1
5%
0:0
4.5%
3:2
3.6%
4:1
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lokomotiv Moscow Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Akhmat Grozny | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 9 |
| 53 | Points | 37 |
| 47% | Win % | 30% |
| 1.8 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.17 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
Head to Head
Lokomotiv
2 : 2
Akhmat
D
Akhmat
1 : 1
Lokomotiv
D
Lokomotiv
2 : 1
Akhmat
L
