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Liverpool vs Arsenal — Prediction

Liverpool Liverpool
0 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 01 Nov 2026 · Premier League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Arsenal Arsenal

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
1 Nov 2026, 16:30 UTC
Competition
Premier League
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Liverpool
  • Liverpool 1–1 Chelsea
  • Liverpool 2–0 Brighton
  • Bournemouth 0–1 Liverpool
  • Liverpool 3–1 Tottenham
  • Liverpool 0–0 Fulham
Arsenal
  • Arsenal 2–0 Everton
  • Brighton 3–0 Arsenal
  • Ipswich 2–4 Arsenal
  • Sunderland 0–1 Arsenal
  • Napoli 0–1 Arsenal
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Liverpool 8 · Arsenal 8. Data saved: 2026-10-29 16:34 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Liverpool 39% · 2026-10-31 10:10 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

1 22%
Home Win 4.45
X 32%
Draw 3.09
2 45%
Away Win 2.21
Model goal expectation · 1 0.67
Model goal expectation · 2 1.08
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
BTTS 32%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Liverpool 0.67 · Arsenal 1.08.
1 22% · X 32% · 2 45%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 18.8%
0:0 17.3%
1:1 12.6%
1:0 11.6%
0:2 10.2%
1:2 6.8%
2:1 4.2%
2:0 3.9%
0:3 3.7%
1:3 2.5%
2:2 2.3%
0:4 1%

About this assessment

Model outcome Arsenal Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22

Team Comparison

Liverpool Arsenal
4 League Position 2
15 Points 21
50% Win % 88%
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.63

Venue Form

Liverpool at Home
W2 D2 L0 (4 games)
50% win rate
Arsenal Away
W3 D0 L1 (4 games)
75% win rate

Recent Form

Liverpool
D W W W D
Arsenal
W L W W W

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