1
50%
Home Win
2.01
X
22%
Draw
4.45
2
28%
Away Win
3.6
xG Home
1.88
xG Away
1.36
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
BTTS
63%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Lausanne an expected 1.9 goals and FC Zurich an expected 1.4 goals. Lausanne have a 50% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and FC Zurich at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10%
2:1
9.4%
1:0
7.4%
2:0
6.9%
1:2
6.8%
2:2
6.4%
3:1
5.9%
0:1
5.3%
3:0
4.3%
3:2
4%
0:0
3.9%
0:2
3.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lausanne Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Lausanne | FC Zurich | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 10 |
| 39 | Points | 34 |
| 31% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.42 |
| 1.69 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.94 |
