1
30%
Home Win
3.36
X
26%
Draw
3.86
2
44%
Away Win
2.26
xG Home
1.15
xG Away
1.46
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Lausanne an expected 1.2 goals and FC Lugano an expected 1.5 goals. Lausanne have a 30% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and FC Lugano at 44%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.3%
0:1
10.7%
1:2
9%
1:0
8.4%
0:2
7.8%
0:0
7.3%
2:1
7.1%
2:2
5.2%
2:0
4.9%
1:3
4.4%
0:3
3.8%
3:1
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Lugano Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 44% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.27 |
| Market Odds | 2.42 |
Team Comparison
| Lausanne | FC Lugano | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 3 |
| 39 | Points | 54 |
| 31% | Win % | 47% |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.69 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.19 |
Venue Form
Lausanne at Home
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
FC Lugano Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Lausanne
L
FC Lugano
W
