Lanús vs San Lorenzo de Almagro Prediction

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Lanús Lanús
1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sun, 26 Jul 2026 · Liga Profesional Argentina
San Lorenzo de Almagro San Lorenzo de Almagro
1 42%
Home Win 2.39
X 32%
Draw 3.17
2 27%
Away Win 3.74
xG Home 1.08
xG Away 0.80
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
BTTS 37%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Lanús an expected 1.1 goals and San Lorenzo de Almagro an expected 0.8 goals. Lanús have a 42% win probability, draw stands at 32%, and San Lorenzo de Almagro at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 71%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 16.4%
0:0 15.1%
1:1 13.2%
0:1 12.2%
2:0 8.9%
2:1 7.2%
1:2 5.3%
0:2 4.9%
3:0 3.2%
2:2 2.9%
3:1 2.6%
1:3 1.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Lanús Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Venue Form

Lanús at Home
W0 D2 L0 (2 games)
0% win rate
San Lorenzo de Almagro Away
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Lanús
D D
San Lorenzo de Almagro
D W

Head to Head

23 Jan 2026 Liga Profesional Argentina
San Lorenzo 2 : 3 Lanus
W
05 Oct 2025 Liga Profesional Argentina
Lanus 2 : 1 San Lorenzo
L
28 Mar 2025 Liga Profesional Argentina
San Lorenzo 1 : 1 Lanus
D