Lanús vs Instituto Cordoba Prediction

Lanús Lanús
1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Mon, 03 Aug 2026 · Liga Profesional Argentina
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.08
xG Away 0.80
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
BTTS 37%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Lanús an expected 1.1 goals and Instituto Cordoba an expected 0.8 goals. Lanús have a 42% win probability, draw stands at 32%, and Instituto Cordoba at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 71%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 16.4%
0:0 15.1%
1:1 13.2%
0:1 12.2%
2:0 8.9%
2:1 7.2%
1:2 5.3%
0:2 4.9%
3:0 3.2%
2:2 2.9%
3:1 2.6%
1:3 1.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Lanús Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Venue Form

Lanús at Home
W1 D2 L0 (3 games)
33% win rate
Instituto Cordoba Away
W0 D1 L1 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Lanús
W D D
Instituto Cordoba
L D

Head to Head

30 May 2026 Copa Argentina
Instituto Cordoba 2 : 1 Lanus
L
04 Feb 2026 Liga Profesional Argentina
Instituto Cordoba 2 : 2 Lanus
D
28 Sep 2025 Liga Profesional Argentina
Instituto Cordoba 0 : 0 Lanus
D