1
66%
Home Win
1.52
X
21%
Draw
4.86
2
14%
Away Win
7.4
xG Home
1.97
xG Away
0.76
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
46%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives KuPS an expected 2.0 goals and Shamrock Rovers an expected 0.8 goals. KuPS have a 66% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Shamrock Rovers at 14%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
12.8%
2:0
12.7%
1:1
9.7%
2:1
9.6%
3:0
8.3%
0:0
6.5%
3:1
6.3%
0:1
4.9%
4:0
4.1%
1:2
3.7%
2:2
3.7%
4:1
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | KuPS Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 66% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.52 |
| Market Odds | 1.61 |
Team Comparison
| KuPS | Shamrock Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | League Position | 31 |
| 7 | Points | 4 |
| 17% | Win % | 17% |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.17 |
| 0.83 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.17 |
