Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · Eliteserien
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.71
xG Away 1.27
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
BTTS 59%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Kristiansund BK an expected 1.7 goals and Aalesund an expected 1.3 goals. Kristiansund BK have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Aalesund at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11%
2:1 9.4%
1:0 8.7%
2:0 7.4%
1:2 7%
0:1 6.4%
2:2 6%
3:1 5.4%
0:0 5.1%
3:0 4.2%
0:2 4.1%
3:2 3.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Kristiansund BK Win
Probability 48%
Predicted Odds 2.08
Market Odds 2.22

Venue Form

Kristiansund BK at Home
W2 D2 L0 (4 games)
50% win rate
Aalesund Away
W0 D0 L3 (3 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Kristiansund BK
W D D W
Aalesund
L L L