1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.59
xG Away
0.96
Over 2.5 Goals
20%
BTTS
27%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Kocaelispor FK an expected 0.6 goals and Goztepe an expected 1.0 goals. Kocaelispor FK have a 22% win probability, draw stands at 35%, and Goztepe at 43%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 80%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
21.2%
0:1
20.5%
1:0
12.4%
1:1
12%
0:2
9.9%
1:2
5.8%
2:0
3.6%
2:1
3.5%
0:3
3.2%
1:3
1.9%
2:2
1.7%
0:4
0.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Goztepe Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 43% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.33 |
| Market Odds | 2.47 |
Team Comparison
| Kocaelispor FK | Goztepe | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 6 |
| 37 | Points | 55 |
| 26% | Win % | 41% |
| 0.76 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.94 |
Venue Form
Kocaelispor FK at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Goztepe Away
W0
D2
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Kocaelispor FK
W
L
D
Goztepe
D
D