Karviná vs Plzen Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 · Czech Liga
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.33
xG Away 2.00
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
BTTS 64%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Karviná an expected 1.3 goals and Plzen an expected 2.0 goals. Karviná have a 26% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Plzen at 53%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 65%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 9.5%
1:2 9.5%
0:1 7.1%
0:2 7.1%
2:1 6.4%
2:2 6.3%
1:3 6.3%
1:0 4.8%
0:3 4.7%
2:3 4.2%
0:0 3.6%
2:0 3.2%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Plzen Win
Probability 53%
Predicted Odds 1.89
Market Odds 2.01

Team Comparison

Karviná Plzen
9 League Position 3
39 Points 53
40% Win % 50%
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.7 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13

Venue Form

Karviná at Home
W0 D0 L2 (2 games)
0% win rate
Plzen Away
W1 D1 L1 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

Karviná
L L
Plzen
L D W