1
7%
Home Win
14.86
X
7%
Draw
13.64
2
79%
Away Win
1.26
xG Home
1.76
xG Away
5.00
Over 2.5 Goals
90%
BTTS
77%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Juventus an expected 1.8 goals and Manchester City an expected 5.0 goals. Juventus have a 7% win probability, draw stands at 7%, and Manchester City at 79%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–4. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 90%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:4
5.3%
2:4
4.7%
1:3
4.3%
2:3
3.7%
0:4
3%
3:4
2.7%
1:2
2.6%
0:3
2.4%
2:2
2.2%
3:3
2.2%
0:2
1.4%
3:2
1.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Juventus Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Juventus | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 1 |
| 6 | Points | 9 |
| 67% | Win % | 100% |
| 3.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 4.33 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.67 |
Head to Head
Juventus
2 : 0
Manchester City
W
Juventus
1 : 0
Manchester City
W
Manchester City
1 : 2
Juventus
W