1
38%
Home Win
2.61
X
47%
Draw
2.14
2
15%
Away Win
6.71
xG Home
0.64
xG Away
0.30
Over 2.5 Goals
7%
BTTS
12%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Ivory Coast an expected 0.6 goals and Ecuador an expected 0.3 goals. Ivory Coast have a 38% win probability, draw stands at 47%, and Ecuador at 15%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 93%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
38.9%
1:0
25%
0:1
11.7%
2:0
8.1%
1:1
7.5%
2:1
2.4%
0:2
1.8%
3:0
1.7%
1:2
1.1%
3:1
0.5%
2:2
0.4%
4:0
0.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Ivory Coast Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 33% |
| Predicted Odds | 3.03 |
| Market Odds | 3.22 |
Team Comparison
| Ivory Coast | Ecuador | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 3 |
| 6 | Points | 4 |
| 67% | Win % | 33% |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.67 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.67 |