Ivory Coast vs Burkina Faso Prediction

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0 – 1
Most Likely Score
Tue, 06 Jan 2026 · Africa Cup of Nations
1 34%
Home Win 2.95
X 31%
Draw 3.26
2 35%
Away Win 2.83
xG Home 0.99
xG Away 1.02
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
BTTS 40%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Ivory Coast an expected 1.0 goals and Burkina Faso an expected 1.0 goals. Ivory Coast have a 34% win probability, draw stands at 31%, and Burkina Faso at 35%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 67%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 13.6%
1:1 13.5%
0:0 13.3%
1:0 13.2%
0:2 7%
1:2 6.9%
2:1 6.7%
2:0 6.6%
2:2 3.4%
0:3 2.4%
1:3 2.4%
3:1 2.2%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Burkina Faso Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Ivory Coast Burkina Faso
1 League Position 2
7 Points 6
67% Win % 67%
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67

Head to Head

28 Dec 2024 African Nations Championship - Qualification
Burkina Faso 2 : 0 Ivory Coast
L
22 Dec 2024 African Nations Championship - Qualification
Ivory Coast 2 : 0 Burkina Faso
W
19 Nov 2022 Friendlies
Burkina Faso 2 : 1 Ivory Coast
L