1
1%
Home Win
100
X
3%
Draw
39.84
2
90%
Away Win
1.11
xG Home
0.56
xG Away
5.00
Over 2.5 Goals
85%
BTTS
40%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Iraq an expected 0.6 goals and Norway an expected 5.0 goals. Iraq have a 1% win probability, draw stands at 3%, and Norway at 90%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–4. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 85%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:4
10%
0:3
8%
1:4
5.6%
0:2
4.8%
1:3
4.5%
1:2
2.7%
0:1
1.9%
2:4
1.6%
2:3
1.3%
1:1
1.1%
2:2
0.8%
0:0
0.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Iraq Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 33% |
| Predicted Odds | 3.03 |
| Market Odds | 3.22 |
Team Comparison
| Iraq | Norway | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 2 |
| 0 | Points | 6 |
| 0% | Win % | 67% |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.67 |
| 4 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.33 |