1
72%
Home Win
1.38
X
17%
Draw
6.01
2
11%
Away Win
9.12
xG Home
2.41
xG Away
0.83
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Iran an expected 2.4 goals and New Zealand an expected 0.8 goals. Iran have a 72% win probability, draw stands at 17%, and New Zealand at 11%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
11.4%
1:0
9.5%
2:1
9.4%
3:0
9.2%
1:1
7.8%
3:1
7.6%
4:0
5.5%
4:1
4.6%
0:0
3.9%
2:2
3.9%
0:1
3.2%
1:2
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Iran Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 33% |
| Predicted Odds | 3.03 |
| Market Odds | 3.22 |
Team Comparison
| Iran | New Zealand | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 4 |
| 3 | Points | 1 |
| 0% | Win % | 0% |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 3.33 |