1
56%
Home Win
1.78
X
31%
Draw
3.22
2
13%
Away Win
7.88
xG Home
1.20
xG Away
0.41
Over 2.5 Goals
22%
BTTS
24%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Inter an expected 1.2 goals and River Plate an expected 0.4 goals. Inter have a 56% win probability, draw stands at 31%, and River Plate at 13%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 78%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
24%
0:0
20%
2:0
14.4%
1:1
9.9%
0:1
8.2%
2:1
5.9%
3:0
5.7%
3:1
2.4%
1:2
2%
4:0
1.7%
0:2
1.7%
2:2
1.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | River Plate Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Inter | River Plate | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 3 |
| 7 | Points | 4 |
| 67% | Win % | 33% |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |