1
38%
Home Win
2.61
X
39%
Draw
2.59
2
23%
Away Win
4.34
xG Home
0.80
xG Away
0.55
Over 2.5 Goals
15%
BTTS
23%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Inter an expected 0.8 goals and Fluminense an expected 0.5 goals. Inter have a 38% win probability, draw stands at 39%, and Fluminense at 23%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 85%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
26%
1:0
20.8%
0:1
14.2%
1:1
11.4%
2:0
8.3%
2:1
4.6%
0:2
3.9%
1:2
3.1%
3:0
2.2%
2:2
1.3%
3:1
1.2%
0:3
0.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Inter Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 33% |
| Predicted Odds | 3.03 |
| Market Odds | 3.22 |
Team Comparison
| Inter | Fluminense | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 7 | Points | 5 |
| 67% | Win % | 33% |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.67 |