1
26%
Home Win
3.84
X
37%
Draw
2.7
2
37%
Away Win
2.71
xG Home
0.64
xG Away
0.82
Over 2.5 Goals
18%
BTTS
27%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Inter Miami an expected 0.6 goals and Palmeiras an expected 0.8 goals. Inter Miami have a 26% win probability, draw stands at 37%, and Palmeiras at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 82%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
23.2%
0:1
19.1%
1:0
14.8%
1:1
12.2%
0:2
7.8%
1:2
5%
2:0
4.7%
2:1
3.9%
0:3
2.2%
2:2
1.6%
1:3
1.4%
3:0
1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Palmeiras Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Inter Miami | Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 1 |
| 5 | Points | 5 |
| 33% | Win % | 33% |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.67 |