1
41%
Home Win
2.43
X
32%
Draw
3.14
2
27%
Away Win
3.71
xG Home
1.06
xG Away
0.80
Over 2.5 Goals
28%
BTTS
36%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Independ. Rivadavia an expected 1.1 goals and Aldosivi an expected 0.8 goals. Independ. Rivadavia have a 41% win probability, draw stands at 32%, and Aldosivi at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 72%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
16.6%
0:0
15.6%
1:1
13.2%
0:1
12.5%
2:0
8.8%
2:1
7%
1:2
5.2%
0:2
5%
3:0
3.1%
2:2
2.8%
3:1
2.5%
1:3
1.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Independ. Rivadavia Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| Independ. Rivadavia | Aldosivi | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 13 |
| 16 | Points | 18 |
| 19% | Win % | 31% |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.81 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.13 |
Venue Form
Independ. Rivadavia at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Aldosivi Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Independ. Rivadavia
L
W
Aldosivi
L
L
