1
55%
Home Win
1.82
X
22%
Draw
4.59
2
23%
Away Win
4.3
xG Home
1.97
xG Away
1.22
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
BTTS
61%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives IF Elfsborg an expected 2.0 goals and Degerfors IF an expected 1.2 goals. IF Elfsborg have a 55% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Degerfors IF at 23%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
9.9%
2:1
9.8%
1:0
8.1%
2:0
8%
3:1
6.4%
1:2
6%
2:2
5.9%
3:0
5.3%
0:1
5%
0:0
4.1%
3:2
3.9%
4:1
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | IF Elfsborg Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 55% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.82 |
| Market Odds | 1.93 |
Team Comparison
| IF Elfsborg | Degerfors IF | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 13 |
| 40 | Points | 30 |
| 40% | Win % | 27% |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.1 |
| 1.7 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.73 |
Venue Form
IF Elfsborg at Home
W3
D2
L2
(7 games)
Degerfors IF Away
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
IF Elfsborg
L
L
D
W
D
Degerfors IF
L
L
D
