Hradec Králové vs Sparta Praha Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 06 Sep 2026 · Czech Liga
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.30
xG Away 1.60
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
BTTS 58%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Hradec Králové an expected 1.3 goals and Sparta Praha an expected 1.6 goals. Hradec Králové have a 31% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Sparta Praha at 44%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 55%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.5%
1:2 9.2%
0:1 8.9%
2:1 7.4%
1:0 7.2%
0:2 7.1%
2:2 5.9%
0:0 5.5%
1:3 4.9%
2:0 4.7%
0:3 3.8%
3:1 3.2%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Sparta Praha Win
Probability 44%
Predicted Odds 2.27
Market Odds 2.42

Team Comparison

Hradec Králové Sparta Praha
5 League Position 2
49 Points 63
47% Win % 63%
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1

Venue Form

Hradec Králové at Home
W2 D1 L2 (5 games)
40% win rate
Sparta Praha Away
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Hradec Králové
L L D W W
Sparta Praha
W L