1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.30
xG Away
1.60
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS
58%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Hradec Králové an expected 1.3 goals and Sparta Praha an expected 1.6 goals. Hradec Králové have a 31% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Sparta Praha at 44%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.5%
1:2
9.2%
0:1
8.9%
2:1
7.4%
1:0
7.2%
0:2
7.1%
2:2
5.9%
0:0
5.5%
1:3
4.9%
2:0
4.7%
0:3
3.8%
3:1
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sparta Praha Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 44% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.27 |
| Market Odds | 2.42 |
Team Comparison
| Hradec Králové | Sparta Praha | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 2 |
| 49 | Points | 63 |
| 47% | Win % | 63% |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.1 |
Venue Form
Hradec Králové at Home
W2
D1
L2
(5 games)
Sparta Praha Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Hradec Králové
L
L
D
W
W
Sparta Praha
W
L