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Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City SC — Prediction

1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 · Major League Soccer
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
2026-11-08
Competition
Major League Soccer

Kickoff time is not confirmed. The date is shown in UTC.

Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Houston Dynamo
  • Portland Timbers 3–1 Houston Dynamo
  • Seattle Sounders 0–1 Houston Dynamo
  • Houston Dynamo 0–0 Minnesota United
  • Houston Dynamo 0–2 Sporting Kansas City
  • Houston Dynamo 2–2 FC Cincinnati
St. Louis City SC
  • St. Louis City SC 0–1 San Diego
  • St. Louis City SC 2–3 Portland Timbers
  • Real Salt Lake 3–0 St. Louis City SC
  • St. Louis City SC 3–1 Toronto FC
  • St. Louis City SC 4–2 Minnesota United
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Houston Dynamo 34 · St. Louis City SC 34. Data saved: 2026-11-05 15:10 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.56
Model goal expectation · 2 1.32
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
BTTS 58%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Houston Dynamo 1.56 · St. Louis City SC 1.32.
1 43% · X 25% · 2 32%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.5%
2:1 9%
1:0 8.7%
1:2 7.6%
0:1 7.4%
2:0 6.8%
2:2 6%
0:0 5.6%
0:2 4.9%
3:1 4.7%
3:0 3.5%
1:3 3.4%

About this assessment

Model outcome Houston Dynamo Win
Probability 43%
Predicted Odds 2.33

Team Comparison

Houston Dynamo St. Louis City SC
12 League Position 13
37 Points 32
26% Win % 24%
1.26 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.65 Avg Goals Conceded 1.71

Venue Form

Houston Dynamo at Home
W0 D2 L1 (3 games)
0% win rate
St. Louis City SC Away
W0 D0 L1 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Houston Dynamo
L W D L D
St. Louis City SC
L L L W W

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

Inspect the prediction record →

Continue the match analysis

Useful next steps within VARiM.

Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.